There is no better expression of Murphy's Law than being a libertarian invested in American politics. Everything always goes wrong. The worse option is always pursued. The status quo is never upset. The good guy always loses. The freshest example is today's defeat of Jesse Irwin, who I have gotten to know in the past three weeks, and helped canvassing on three different occasions. Irwin lost 70:30, which sounds like a landslide, but to be fair, if I knew nothing specific about this campaign, and heard that a 29 year old first time candidate with no name recognition was running as a Republican in St. Louis City, I'd predict the outcome more like 98:2. 30% is a respectable threat. Vollmer realized he was actually in a race before it was too late, and pulled in favors with the unions and the half century old Democratic machine. This is a venerable apparatus that is hard to ambush.
The 10th Ward Alderman race may not have been the Earth-shattering opening salvo I was hoping for, but the potential for a Ron-Paul-Republican renaissance in the City is not impossibly out of reach. Jesse Irwin isn't going away. And I am just arriving.
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